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These are the 5 reasons why Michael Moore thinks Trump will become president

"I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news"

These are the 5 reasons why Michael Moore thinks Trump will become president
26 July 2016

At first it was laughable, then it became possible, and now even staunch left-wing icons are telling you it's probable: prepare yourselves for the spectacle of President Donald Trump being sworn into power in November.

Michael Moore, the legendary documentary maker, and a man listed in 2005 as one of the 100 most influential people in the world in according to Time magazine, was a vocal supporter of Bernie Sanders to receive the Democrat nomination, but now believes that Trump is going to triumph.

In a lengthy new blogpost, he states: "I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full-time sociopath is going to be our next president."

And here is how he going to do it.

Midwest Math, or Welcome to Our Rust Belt Brexit

Moore believes that Trump needs to take only four traditionally democrat states to triumph overall, and names them as the rustbelt of the upper Great Lakes: Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump is currently polling ahead of Clinton in Pennsylvania and tied in Ohio. How is he doing this well? "Well maybe it’s because he’s said (correctly) that the Clintons’ support of NAFTA helped to destroy the industrial states of the Upper Midwest. Trump is going to hammer Clinton on this and her support of TPP and other trade policies that have royally screwed the people of these four states."

He compares this area of the US to the middle of England - "broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class... What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here. Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER!"

If Trump wins all the traditionally Republican states, then gaining these extra four, "will put him over the top. This is how it will happen in November."

The Last Stand of the Angry White Man

Angry at the power slipping out of their hands and threatened by the prospect of a woman in the White House for the first time, this is their final chance to resist.

"This monster, the 'Feminazi' the thing that as Trump says, “bleeds through her eyes or wherever she bleeds,” has conquered us — and now, after having had to endure eight years of a black man telling us what to do, we’re supposed to just sit back and take eight years of a woman bossing us around? After that it’ll be eight years of the gays in the White House! Then the transgenders! You can see where this is going. By then animals will have been granted human rights and a fuckin’ hamster is going to be running the country. This has to stop!"

The Hillary Problem

Moore believes that Clinton is a dangerously weak opponent for Trump to be up against.

"Let’s face it: Our biggest problem here isn’t Trump - it’s Hillary. She is hugely unpopular - nearly 70 per cent of all voters think she is untrustworthy and dishonest. She represents the old way of politics, not really believing in anything other than what can get you elected. That’s why she fights against gays getting married one moment, and the next she’s officiating a gay marriage. Young women are among her biggest detractors, which has to hurt considering it’s the sacrifices and the battles that Hillary and other women of her generation endured so that this younger generation would never have to be told by the Barbara Bushes of the world that they should just shut up and go bake some cookies. But the kids don’t like her, and not a day goes by that a millennial doesn’t tell me they aren’t voting for her.

"No Democrat, and certainly no independent, is waking up on November 8th excited to run out and vote for Hillary the way they did the day Obama became president or when Bernie was on the primary ballot. The enthusiasm just isn’t there. And because this election is going to come down to just one thing - who drags the most people out of the house and gets them to the polls - Trump right now is in the catbird seat."

The Depressed Sanders Vote

Moore believes that - despite initial opposition from diehard Sanders fans - that they will go and vote for the 'lesser of two evils' in the form of Clinton - "the polls already show that more Sanders voters will vote for Hillary this year than the number of Hillary primary voters in '08 who then voted for Obama". However, they will do so begrudgingly - and they won't urge others to do the same.

"[The depressed Sanders voter] doesn’t volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up to the election. She never talks in an excited voice when asked why she’s voting for Hillary. A depressed voter. Because, when you’re young, you have zero tolerance for phonies and BS. Returning to the Clinton/Bush era for them is like suddenly having to pay for music, or using MySpace or carrying around one of those big-ass portable phones. They’re not going to vote for Trump; some will vote third party, but many will just stay home. Hillary Clinton is going to have to do something to give them a reason to support her  - and picking a moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old white guy as her running mate is not the kind of edgy move that tells millennials that their vote is important to Hillary. Having two women on the ticket - that was an exciting idea. But then Hillary got scared and has decided to play it safe. This is just one example of how she is killing the youth vote."

The Jesse Ventura Effect

Moore cites the example of Jesse Ventura - a professional wrestler who was unexpectedly voted Governor of Minnesota in 1998, defeating all the major party candidates under a slogan of "Don't vote for politics as usual" - as evidence for the ability of people to throw caution to the wind when voting.

"Do not discount the electorate’s ability to be mischievous or underestimate how any millions fancy themselves as closet anarchists once they draw the curtain and are all alone in the voting booth. It’s one of the few places left in society where there are no security cameras, no listening devices, no spouses, no kids, no boss, no cops, there’s not even a friggin’ time limit. You can take as long as you need in there and no one can make you do anything. You can push the button and vote a straight party line, or you can write in Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck. There are no rules. And because of that, and the anger that so many have toward a broken political system, millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can... Minnesota is one of the smartest states in the country. It is also filled with people who have a dark sense of humor - and voting for Ventura was their version of a good practical joke on a sick political system. This is going to happen again with Trump."